MLB Prop Edge — Data. Models. Edge.

Player report

J.T. Realmuto

PHI · NYM @ PHI

Projected matchup vs. Christian Scott

1+ HitA+#2
2+ TBA+#1
Home RunPass#2
Projected hits1.46
Projected total bases2.33
Projected home runs0.17
Lineup position7
Temperature79.0°
Wind5.0 mphIn

Recent form

Hit rate by window

Hits per plate appearance
15.4%
7 games
16.1%
14 games
14.7%
30 games

Contact quality

Damage profile

Rolling batted-ball rates
Hard-hit rate14-game vs 30-game
14G25.2%
30G23.8%
Barrel rate14-game vs 30-game
14G0.0%
30G2.2%

Model view

Grade strength comparison

Calibrated score, not betting probability
1+ Hit
A+ · 86
2+ TB
A+ · 73
Home Run
Pass · 17

Model explanation

Why this player ranks here

The park gives a small boost to home run power.

Contact67
Power53
Opportunity82
Consistency91
Matchup52
Weather74

Game context

Matchup snapshot

Opponent pitcher
Christian Scott
Ballpark
Neutral
Pitcher hit rate allowed
18.9%
Pitcher HR rate allowed
3.0%
Pitcher hard-hit allowed
19.6%
Weather source
runtime_nws_hourly_nearest_first_pitch