MLB Prop Edge — Data. Models. Edge.

Player report

Trea Turner

PHI · NYM @ PHI

Projected matchup vs. Christian Scott

1+ HitA+#1
2+ TBA+#3
Home RunPass#3
Projected hits1.25
Projected total bases1.89
Projected home runs0.12
Lineup position1
Temperature79.0°
Wind5.0 mphIn

Recent form

Hit rate by window

Hits per plate appearance
16.7%
7 games
24.2%
14 games
24.2%
30 games

Contact quality

Damage profile

Rolling batted-ball rates
Hard-hit rate14-game vs 30-game
14G32.4%
30G28.1%
Barrel rate14-game vs 30-game
14G2.8%
30G1.3%

Model view

Grade strength comparison

Calibrated score, not betting probability
1+ Hit
A+ · 86
2+ TB
A+ · 59
Home Run
Pass · 12

Model explanation

Why this player ranks here

Great lineup opportunity.

Contact79
Power58
Opportunity99
Consistency91
Matchup52
Weather74

Game context

Matchup snapshot

Opponent pitcher
Christian Scott
Ballpark
Neutral
Pitcher hit rate allowed
18.9%
Pitcher HR rate allowed
3.0%
Pitcher hard-hit allowed
19.6%
Weather source
runtime_nws_hourly_nearest_first_pitch