Bars are scaled per market, so a full home run bar is about a 30% chance, not 100%.
The biggest things pushing each number up or down for this game.
Working for him: size of the pitcher's track record, pitch DNA matchup fit and pitcher's fastball usage.
Working for him: pitcher's fastball usage, size of the pitcher's track record and air pressure.
Working for him: size of the pitcher's track record.
Against him: hard-hit rate (last 30 games) and called-strike rate (last 14 games).
Going into this game. Hit rate is hits per plate appearance.
| Stat | Last 7 | Last 14 | Last 30 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rate | 21.2% | 21.5% | 25.5% |
| Hard-hit rate | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% |
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Expected wOBA | 0.304 | 0.319 | 0.347 |