Bars are scaled per market, so a full home run bar is about a 30% chance, not 100%.
The biggest things pushing each number up or down for this game.
Working for him: size of the pitcher's track record, pitcher's fastball usage and pitch DNA matchup fit.
Working for him: size of the pitcher's track record, pitcher's fastball usage and air pressure.
Working for him: size of the pitcher's track record and hard-hit rate (last 30 games).
Against him: ballpark home-run factor.
Going into this game. Hit rate is hits per plate appearance.
| Stat | Last 7 | Last 14 | Last 30 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rate | 20.7% | 22.4% | 20.9% |
| Hard-hit rate | 34.3% | 37.6% | 36.9% |
| Barrel rate | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Expected wOBA | 0.286 | 0.330 | 0.340 |