Bars are scaled per market, so a full home run bar is about a 30% chance, not 100%.
The biggest things pushing each number up or down for this game.
Working for him: size of the pitcher's track record, pitcher's fastball usage and pitch DNA matchup fit.
Working for him: size of the pitcher's track record, pitcher's fastball usage and air pressure.
Working for him: hard-hit rate (last 30 games) and size of the pitcher's track record.
Against him: ballpark home-run factor.
Going into this game. Hit rate is hits per plate appearance.
| Stat | Last 7 | Last 14 | Last 30 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rate | 33.3% | 32.3% | 29.1% |
| Hard-hit rate | 40.2% | 37.1% | 34.5% |
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% |
| Expected wOBA | 0.363 | 0.430 | 0.415 |